« Education Reform Grandiosity: Everybody's Doing ItThe Vision Thing »

    Crystal Ball Busting

    07/09/09

    Permalink 11:07:45 am, Categories: Announcements [A]
    Sherman Dorn, who took me to task regarding my forecast of school reform trends - "I don’t know about you, but the last degree I earned came with a beautiful, shiny rearview mirror, not a crystal ball," said Dorn earlier today - apparently needs Windex, a clean chamois rag, and a refund on his degree.
     
    Here is what Sherman said (in the National Journal) on 6/30/2009:
     
    "Secretary Duncan and Senator Alexander were able to help Tennessee Governor Phil Bredeson push a charter bill through the state’s legislature, and part of that is tied to ARRA, but it also required a specific context in Tennessee where the bill was just a little shove away from law. In other states, charter caps will probably remain as they were before ARRA." 
     
    Below is the text from the DFER release of 7/2/09 which he selectively quoted today in his "crystal ball" piece. Note that many of these developments occurred before Dorn’s 6/30/09 comments. 
     
    In the the spirit of prognosticatory humility, and to minimize any further histrionics, let me just say it this way: "The circumstances that led to these developments may not be unique to Illinois, Colorado, Tennessee, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Louisiana, and Indiana."
     
    ——————————————————————————————
     
    – Illinois. On Tuesday, April 14th, Duncan kicked off his nationwide “listening tour” in Chicago, saying “business as usual, to be clear, would basically eliminate Illinois from [Race the Top] competition” and citing funding inequity, a limit on the number of charter schools, and marginal efforts to police teacher quality as the biggest areas in need of change.

    In the wee of hours of June 1st, the Illinois state legislature answered Duncan’s call and ended its session by approving 45 new charter schools for Chicago, 5 of which would reserved for high school dropouts, and an additional 15 charter schools for the rest of the state. As a result, about 13,000 students now on charter school waiting lists or in otherwise low-performing schools will be enrolled in high-quality charters subject to stricter accountability requirements than other Illinois schools.

     – Colorado. Gov. Bill Ritter took the unusual step of appointing Lt. Gov. Barbara O’Brien (a member of the DFER-Colorado advisory board) to serve as “Race To The Top Czar,” to make sure the state was positioned with enough progressive education policies to win the race outright.

     – Tennessee. In late May, Duncan said Tennessee would “not be helping its chances” for Race to the Top funds if it continued arbitrary caps limiting the growth of charter schools. This set off a chain of events in which the state legislature held a special session and Democrats were freed to reverse their positions against charter school expansion from their leadership (and given a pass from the Tennessee Education Association), culminating in approval of charter school expansions in six school systems on a lopsided vote of 79-15.

     – Rhode Island. On Monday, June 22 at a conference attended by thousands of charter school parents, teachers, and Administrators, Duncan said, in response to a question from the audience, that Rhode Island risked eligibility for Race to the Top funding if it continued to roadblock efforts to establish and equitably fund charter schools.

     On Friday June 26, just after 2 a.m. the Rhode Island legislature approved a final budget deal that fully restored funding for a system of “mayoral academies” that will serve students attending some of the lowest-performing schools in Providence. The first school, set to open this Fall, will be run by Democracy Prep, a Harlem charter operator. The lottery for slots will be held the first week of July.

    – Connecticut. Duncan’s comments regarding Rhode Island rippled out to Connecticut, when on June 26, virtually simultaneous with Rhode Island’s action, Connecticut reversed its decision to cut charter school budgets, and moved toward an agreement that would fully restore charter school funding.

    The victory was hailed not only by charter school advocates, but also by those who are working on behalf of statewide school reform efforts, like Alex Johnston, Chief Executive Officer of the Connecticut Coalition for Achievement Now (ConnCAN): “The education reform movement in Connecticut is gratified that this budget averts the tragedy of half-completed public charter schools so that they can continue their work to close Connecticut’s largest-in-the-nation achievement gap.”

    – Massachusetts. On Monday, June 29, Massachusetts Secretary of Education Paul Reville announced that Gov. Deval Patrick will soon introduce legislation to lift the cap on charter schools in school districts in the lowest 10 percent on performance exams. Earlier this year Patrick said he was opposed to lifting the cap on the number of charter schools – proposing instead to increase spending on them in the lowest-performing districts.

    – Louisiana. On Thursday, June 25, on the last day of Louisiana’s legislative session, Rep. Walt Leger III, a New Orleans Democrat, introduced legislation lifting the cap on charter schools. The state Education Department’s press release indicated that states that lift caps on   charter schools will be viewed more favorably by the federal government in the Race To The Top.

    – Indiana. The new state budget approved by the Legislature this week lifted the cap on charter schools and allows student performance to be used in teacher evaluations. Duncan had warned Indiana legislators that a failure to remove obstacles to reform, like charter caps, would jeopardize the state’s standing in the contest.

    Trackback address for this post

    Trackback URL (right click and copy shortcut/link location)

    4 comments

    Comment from: Sherman Dorn [Visitor] · http://www.shermandorn.com
    Where I'm wrong, I'm wrong; I will offer no excuses on factual errors *or* omissions. So I am wrong for missing the legislation in other states.

    But I don't think I'm selectively quoting to make the point about overgeneralization: the DFER press release didn't say "charter school legislation removing or raising caps looks like a trend with Arne Duncan's efforts." It said, "Those who resist the school reform movement are going to find they are on the wrong side of history. They may affect the pace of reform, but not its inexorable direction." The second version is unmistakeably grandiose, and that's what appeared.
    07/09/09 @ 11:47
    Comment from: Tom Hoffman [Visitor] · http://tuttlesvc.org
    The new RI charters are not in Providence. That's the problem with trying to pose as an expert in local issues across the entire country. You're wrong a lot of the time.
    07/10/09 @ 21:12
    Comment from: Charlie [Member] Email · http://www.swiftandchangeable.org
    I try my best based on what I read and hear.

    My understanding is that they will serve kids in Providence. Please let me know if you have other information.

    Best,

    --- Charlie
    07/11/09 @ 03:03
    Comment from: Charlie [Member] Email · http://www.swiftandchangeable.org
    It's not me predicting it. It's what I hear from parents and activists (I visit a lot of schools), from reporters like Jay Mathews and Claudio Sanchez, and editorial boards like the NYT and WaPo. I have never seen a shortchanged minority, and this is what we have re: blacks, Hispanics, and poor people in education, ever be on the wrong side of history. Have you? When I see the status quoers attacking folks like Roger Wilkins and Bill Taylor, who have been at this stuff longer than anyone, it's not hard to guess which way things are going to head. The other side is offering people nothing new. Most of what they've done is try to block the changes others are trying to implement, even when the changes have been implemented and are positive. So it's not really all that hard to see that there will be change.
    07/12/09 @ 06:03

    This post has 930 feedbacks awaiting moderation...

    Leave a comment


    Your email address will not be revealed on this site.

    Your URL will be displayed.
    (Line breaks become <br />)
    (Name, email & website)
    (Allow users to contact you through a message form (your email will not be revealed.)
    September 2010
    Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
     << <   > >>
          1 2 3 4
    5 6 7 8 9 10 11
    12 13 14 15 16 17 18
    19 20 21 22 23 24 25
    26 27 28 29 30    

    Swift & Change Able will attempt to cover all aspects of education policy, including:
    * Legislation
    * Policy
    * Politics

    Swift & Change Able will try to look at events in the states and local school districts, as well as the ongoing ESEA reauthorization process in Washington, D.C.

    Content on Swift & Change Able will include:
    * Analysis
    * Commentary
    * Research
    * Data
    * Public Forums

    and, sometimes, some surprises just to liven things up.

    Search

    The requested Blog doesn't exist any more!

    XML Feeds

    powered by b2evolution free blog software